ANALYSIS
Deep reporting and strategic analysis on the forces reshaping the world.
What Changed in the Mediterranean?
For the first time since 2013, open-source monitors cannot find a single major Russian warship in the Mediterranean — the quiet end of a twelve-year naval presence.
The Court That Knows Too Much
Sovereignty is the slogan; impunity is the point. How Washington pressures the International Criminal Court to shield its own officials.
An Oil Empire Is Cracking
In five weeks Russia went from isolated fuel shortages to nationwide rationing, as strikes on refineries and tankers begin to bite.
A Sanction Written for the Kremlin
Brussels banned Russia's Arctic gas fleet from EU shipyards — then gave it eighteen months to get ready first.
The Toxic Asset: How Trump Became a Liability for Europe's Populist Right
The allies he pushed away himself — why Europe's nationalist right is quietly distancing itself from Trump.
War Is Compressing Ukraine's Future
How a prolonged war is foreclosing Ukraine's long-term options — demographic, economic and strategic.
The Illusion of Control
Drones over Moscow, and the widening gap between the Kremlin's image of control and the reality on the ground.
Europe Is Spending More. But the Question Isn't Money
Record defense spending, same dependency — why more money alone will not buy Europe its security.
From Krupp to Rheinmetall: Is Europe Repeating an Old Mistake
From Krupp to Rheinmetall — is Europe rebuilding its arms base, or repeating an old mistake?
How Poland's Economic Rise Is Reshaping the Balance of Power in the EU
Poland's rapid economic rise is quietly redrawing the balance of power inside the European Union.
A Missed Opportunity: Prigozhin's Mutiny and the West's Fear of Russia's Collapse
There are moments when an adversary's system loses its stability — and the West's fear of Russia's collapse let one pass.
The "Second Army in the World" That Fights on Horses
The first front-line reports read like an anecdote from a parallel reality: the "second army in the world" that fights on horseback.
Thirty Years of the Same Mistake
For more than three decades, Washington's policy toward Russia has unfolded in the same cycle of trust and disappointment.
The End of Pacifism: How Germany Is Preparing for a Major War
The end of pacifism — how Germany is preparing, at last, for the possibility of a major war.
Why the Civilized World Fails to Understand the Kremlin's "Human-Wave Assaults"
A clash of worldviews: why the West simply cannot imagine waging war the way the Kremlin does.
The Secret Alliance: How China Uses the Kremlin to Wage War Against the West
China and the Kremlin are allies without treaties or declarations — how Beijing uses Russia against the West.
Diplomacy as a Trap: How the Kremlin Uses Negotiations Against Ukraine
How the Kremlin wields "peace negotiations" not as a path to ending aggression, but as a weapon against Ukraine.
Why Ukraine's Strikes on Russia's Shadow Fleet Make Sanctions Real
Ukraine's strikes on Russia's "shadow fleet" expose a reality Western policymakers often prefer not to say aloud.
Why Germany Is Not Ready for a Major War
Bigger budgets and revised doctrines — and why Germany still is not ready for a major war.